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ACGL (ACGL) — Range-bound
ACGL (ACGL) is trading at $98.50, -2.03 (-2.02%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +2.5% move. Price is -7.5% from its 6-month high and +12.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
ACGL (ACGL) is trading at $98.50. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +2.5% move.
Price is -7.5% from the 6-month high and +12.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($101.24, -2.7%) and above the 50-day SMA ($96.93).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $98.50, upper $105.40, middle $101.15, lower $96.91. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 8.4% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 39.3. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.41, signal $1.12, histogram -0.714.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.17) over the recent 18 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($98.50) is +2.6% above the anchored VWAP ($95.97). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $98.50. Resistance above: $100.20, $102.06, $103.27. Support below: $97.92, $96.91, $91.90.
Watch $100.20 as the first upside level to clear, and $97.92 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$100.20
Resistance
$102.06
Resistance
$103.27
Support
$97.92
Support
$96.91
Support
$91.90
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($96.93).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 39 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.714) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.19).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($95.97).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:30.223121730Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.