ADI (ADI) — Uptrend in force
ADI (ADI) is trading at $419.78, +21.56 (+16.2%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +28.2% move. Price is -5.8% from its 6-month high and +28.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~31%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
ADI (ADI) is trading at $419.78. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +28.2% move.
Price is -5.8% from the 6-month high and +28.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~31%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($392.41, +7.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($377.38).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $419.78, upper $424.57, middle $385.68, lower $346.80. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 20.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 88.5. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $11.67, signal $7.16, histogram +4.509.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.07) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($419.78) is +7.5% above the anchored VWAP ($390.46). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $419.78. Resistance above: $424.57. Support below: $395.74, $389.75, $385.68.
Watch $424.57 as the first upside level to clear, and $395.74 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$424.57
Support
$395.74
Support
$389.75
Support
$385.68
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+28.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($377.38).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 88 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+4.509) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.94).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($390.46).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:57.599568340Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.