ADI (ADI) — Downtrend in force
ADI (ADI) is trading at $388.91, +21.5 (+5.85%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +20.4% move. Price is -12.7% from its 6-month high and +28.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend, stabilising
ADI (ADI) is trading at $388.91. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +20.4% move.
The 6-month trend is down, but the last ~20 sessions are up 0.8% — early stabilisation. Price is -12.7% from the high and +28.3% from the low.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($373.69, +4.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($394.99).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $388.91, upper $396.60, middle $376.55, lower $356.49. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 10.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 61.1. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.51, signal $-7.05, histogram +2.542.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.09) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($388.91) is +3.4% above the anchored VWAP ($376.25). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $388.91. Resistance above: $390.59, $396.60, $400.69. Support below: $388.33, $382.82, $376.55.
Watch $390.59 as the first upside level to clear, and $388.33 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$390.59
Resistance
$396.60
Resistance
$400.69
Support
$388.33
Support
$382.82
Support
$376.55
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+20.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($394.99).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 61 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+2.542) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.81).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($376.25).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:30.678354016Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.