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ADM (ADM) — Downtrend in force
ADM (ADM) is trading at $76.23, -3.04 (-3.83%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +13.2% move. Price is -12.7% from its 6-month high and +15.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ADM (ADM) is trading at $76.23. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +13.2% move.
Price is -12.7% from the 6-month high and +15.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($81.82, -6.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($80.18).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $76.23, upper $88.74, middle $82.14, lower $75.55. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 16.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 20.9. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.72, signal $0.26, histogram -0.972.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.80) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($76.23) is +1.5% above the anchored VWAP ($75.12). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $76.23. Resistance above: $76.75, $78.13, $78.97. Support below: $75.28, $74.28, $71.62.
Watch $76.75 as the first upside level to clear, and $75.28 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$76.75
Resistance
$78.13
Resistance
$78.97
Support
$75.28
Support
$74.28
Support
$71.62
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+13.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($80.18).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 21 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.972) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.05).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($75.12).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:30.839325661Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.