ADP (ADP) — Uptrend in force
ADP (ADP) is trading at $272.46, +6.0 (+2.25%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +20.2% move. Price is -0.4% from its 6-month high and +44.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 7 bullish, 0 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
ADP (ADP) is trading at $272.46. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +20.2% move.
Price is -0.4% from the 6-month high and +44.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~34%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($261.12, +4.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($240.57).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $272.46, upper $279.83, middle $258.68, lower $237.54. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 16.4% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 65.3. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $9.72, signal $8.97, histogram +0.747.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.06) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting near highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($272.46) is +24.0% above the anchored VWAP ($219.68). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $272.46. Resistance above: $275.56, $279.83. Support below: $268.29, $261.50, $256.90.
Watch $275.56 as the first upside level to clear, and $268.29 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$275.56
Resistance
$279.83
Support
$268.29
Support
$261.50
Support
$256.90
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+20.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($240.57).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 65 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.747) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.83).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($219.68).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:31.047199009Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.