ADP (ADP) — Downtrend in force
ADP (ADP) is trading at $263.05, +1.25 (+1.07%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +28.7% move. Price is -8.5% from its 6-month high and +39.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ADP (ADP) is trading at $263.05. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +28.7% move.
Price is -8.5% from the 6-month high and +39.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($264.89) and below the 50-day SMA ($271.71).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $263.05, upper $277.39, middle $266.36, lower $255.34. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 39.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-3.18, signal $-2.41, histogram -0.772.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.68). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($263.05) is +10.8% above the anchored VWAP ($237.31). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $263.05. Resistance above: $266.46, $269.94, $273.00. Support below: $261.86, $255.34.
Watch $266.46 as the first upside level to clear, and $261.86 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$266.46
Resistance
$269.94
Resistance
$273.00
Support
$261.86
Support
$255.34
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+28.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($271.71).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 40 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.772) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.35).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.68) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($237.31).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:57.962926994Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.