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AEP (AEP) — Downtrend in force
AEP (AEP) is trading at $121.02, +1.72 (+1.07%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -8.6% move. Price is -12.7% from its 6-month high and +2.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~12%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
AEP (AEP) is trading at $121.02. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -8.6% move.
Price is -12.7% from the 6-month high and +2.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~12%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($119.54, +1.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($123.28).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $121.02, upper $124.08, middle $120.37, lower $116.66. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 6.2% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 56.2. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.19, signal $-1.52, histogram +0.332.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.02) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($121.02) is -6.1% below the anchored VWAP ($128.84). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $121.02. Resistance above: $121.80, $124.08, $126.34. Support below: $120.06, $116.66.
Watch $121.80 as the first upside level to clear, and $120.06 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$121.80
Resistance
$124.08
Resistance
$126.34
Support
$120.06
Support
$116.66
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-8.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($123.28).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 56 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.332) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.59).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($128.84).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:58.364746304Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.