AES (AES) — Range-bound
AES (AES) is trading at $14.72, +0.04 (+0.27%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a -8.3% move. Price is -14.8% from its 6-month high and +5.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~5%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 3 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
AES (AES) is trading at $14.72. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -8.3% move.
Price is -14.8% from the 6-month high and +5.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~5%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($14.78) and above the 50-day SMA ($14.71).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $14.72, upper $14.90, middle $14.78, lower $14.66. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 1.6% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 39.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.00, signal $0.02, histogram -0.019.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.91) over the recent 14 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($14.72) is +0.5% above the anchored VWAP ($14.64). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $14.72. Resistance above: $14.82. Support below: $14.53.
Watch $14.82 as the first upside level to clear, and $14.53 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$14.82
Support
$14.53
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($14.71).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 40 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.019) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.24).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($14.64).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:31.825342040Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.