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AJG (AJG) — Range-bound
AJG (AJG) is trading at $248.34, -1.08 (-0.43%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +14.0% move. Price is -7.7% from its 6-month high and +29.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
AJG (AJG) is trading at $248.34. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +14.0% move.
Price is -7.7% from the 6-month high and +29.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($251.65, -1.3%) and above the 50-day SMA ($235.00).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $248.34, upper $265.66, middle $252.37, lower $239.08. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 45.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $3.74, signal $5.62, histogram -1.879.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.93) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting near highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($248.34) is +13.3% above the anchored VWAP ($219.23). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $248.34. Resistance above: $248.83, $255.22, $261.27. Support below: $246.35, $239.08, $215.62.
Watch $248.83 as the first upside level to clear, and $246.35 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$248.83
Resistance
$255.22
Resistance
$261.27
Support
$246.35
Support
$239.08
Support
$215.62
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($235.00).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 45 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.879) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.35).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($219.23).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:32.530842625Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.