ALGN (ALGN) — Downtrend in force
ALGN (ALGN) is trading at $168.09, -1.07 (-0.63%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -12.7% move. Price is -14.9% from its 6-month high and +8.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ALGN (ALGN) is trading at $168.09. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -12.7% move.
Price is -14.9% from the 6-month high and +8.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($172.32, -2.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($174.59).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $168.09, upper $182.97, middle $174.01, lower $165.06. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 10.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 41.9. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.37, signal $-0.82, histogram -0.555.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($168.09) is -4.7% below the anchored VWAP ($176.42). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $168.09. Resistance above: $170.51, $173.43, $175.54. Support below: $164.74.
Watch $170.51 as the first upside level to clear, and $164.74 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$170.51
Resistance
$173.43
Resistance
$175.54
Support
$164.74
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-12.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($174.59).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 42 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.555) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.17).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($176.42).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:32.910268029Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.