ALGN (ALGN) — Downtrend in force
ALGN (ALGN) is trading at $142.65, -1.36 (1.42%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -17.0% move. Price is -27.2% from its 6-month high and +1.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~30%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ALGN (ALGN) is trading at $142.65. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -17.0% move.
Price is -27.2% from the 6-month high and +1.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~30%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($146.35, -2.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($159.13).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $142.65, upper $154.49, middle $147.49, lower $140.48. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 9.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 36.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.53, signal $-4.60, histogram +0.074.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.01) over the recent 18 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($142.65) is -15.7% below the anchored VWAP ($169.25). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $142.65. Resistance above: $145.93, $148.37, $151.22. Support below: $142.24, $140.48.
Watch $145.93 as the first upside level to clear, and $142.24 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$145.93
Resistance
$148.37
Resistance
$151.22
Support
$142.24
Support
$140.48
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-17.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($159.13).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 37 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.074) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.15).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($169.25).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:59.821107095Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.