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ALNY (ALNY) — Downtrend in force
ALNY (ALNY) is trading at $227.22, -26.85 (3.33%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -31.2% move. Price is -33.0% from its 6-month high and +10.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 8 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ALNY (ALNY) is trading at $227.22. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -31.2% move.
Price is -33.0% from the 6-month high and +10.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($241.78, -6.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($239.43).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $227.22, upper $265.50, middle $243.45, lower $221.41. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 18.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 39.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.70, signal $-1.56, histogram -3.135.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.76). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($227.22) is -15.1% below the anchored VWAP ($267.79). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $227.22. Resistance above: $237.91, $242.24, $251.81. Support below: $221.41.
Watch $237.91 as the first upside level to clear, and $221.41 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$237.91
Resistance
$242.24
Resistance
$251.81
Support
$221.41
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-31.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($239.43).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 40 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-3.135) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.13).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.76) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($267.79).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:49.532015567Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.