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ALNY (ALNY) — Downtrend in force
ALNY (ALNY) is trading at $214.48, +8.96 (+4.36%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -33.0% move. Price is -36.8% from its 6-month high and +4.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~109%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ALNY (ALNY) is trading at $214.48. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -33.0% move.
Price is -36.8% from the 6-month high and +4.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~109%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($247.64, -13.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($280.35).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $214.48, upper $316.35, middle $255.69, lower $195.02. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 47.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 30.5. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-20.16, signal $-15.36, histogram -4.809.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.82) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($214.48) is -26.7% below the anchored VWAP ($292.48). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $214.48. Resistance above: $269.22, $282.98, $290.60. Support below: $197.81, $195.02.
Watch $269.22 as the first upside level to clear, and $197.81 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$269.22
Resistance
$282.98
Resistance
$290.60
Support
$197.81
Support
$195.02
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-33.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($280.35).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 31 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-4.809) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.16).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($292.48).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:03:03.320048914Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.