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AMAT (AMAT) — Downtrend in force
AMAT (AMAT) is trading at $534.68, +27.01 (+5.32%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +61.7% move. Price is -26.1% from its 6-month high and +65.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~91%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
AMAT (AMAT) is trading at $534.68. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +61.7% move.
Price is -26.1% from the 6-month high and +65.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~91%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($522.91, +2.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($553.02).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $534.68, upper $606.16, middle $534.24, lower $462.32. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 26.9% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 52.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-10.55, signal $-11.84, histogram +1.293.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.87) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($534.68) is +13.5% above the anchored VWAP ($471.11). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $534.68. Resistance above: $551.18, $558.28, $576.49. Support below: $534.24, $527.63, $513.22.
Watch $551.18 as the first upside level to clear, and $534.24 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$551.18
Resistance
$558.28
Resistance
$576.49
Support
$534.24
Support
$527.63
Support
$513.22
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+61.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($553.02).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 53 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.293) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.50).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($471.11).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:33.464741995Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.