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AMAT (AMAT) — Uptrend in force
AMAT (AMAT) is trading at $530.39, +18.38 (+-2.19%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is up with a +50.4% move. Price is -26.6% from its 6-month high and +50.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
AMAT (AMAT) is trading at $530.39. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **up** with a +50.4% move.
Price is -26.6% from the 6-month high and +50.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~47%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($486.66, +9.0%) and above the 50-day SMA ($487.49).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $530.39, upper $556.10, middle $476.23, lower $396.36. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 33.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Extreme overbought
RSI(14) is 87.8. Mean-reversion risk is elevated; momentum often stalls here.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $15.19, signal $4.52, histogram +10.669.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.17) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($530.39) is +4.6% above the anchored VWAP ($506.94). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $530.39. Resistance above: $547.25, $556.10, $563.76. Support below: $497.10, $476.23, $463.78.
Watch $547.25 as the first upside level to clear, and $497.10 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$547.25
Resistance
$556.10
Resistance
$563.76
Support
$497.10
Support
$476.23
Support
$463.78
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+50.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($487.49).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 88 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+10.669) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.84).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($506.94).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:00.223202892Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.