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AMP (AMP) — Downtrend in force
AMP (AMP) is trading at $492.31, -5.01 (-53.1%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +14.4% move. Price is -13.7% from its 6-month high and +14.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
AMP (AMP) is trading at $492.31. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +14.4% move.
Price is -13.7% from the 6-month high and +14.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($507.92, -3.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($541.88).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $492.31, upper $575.74, middle $519.98, lower $464.23. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 21.4% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 26.4. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-15.62, signal $-13.22, histogram -2.397.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.01) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($492.31) is -0.0% below the anchored VWAP ($492.36). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $492.31. Resistance above: $497.76, $552.51, $558.56. Support below: $486.82, $477.91, $464.23.
Watch $497.76 as the first upside level to clear, and $486.82 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$497.76
Resistance
$552.51
Resistance
$558.56
Support
$486.82
Support
$477.91
Support
$464.23
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+14.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($541.88).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 26 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-2.397) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.25).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($492.36).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:00.965025686Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.