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AON (AON) — Downtrend in force
AON (AON) is trading at $274.03, -1.87 (72.8%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -16.0% move. Price is -28.1% from its 6-month high and +1.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~37%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
AON (AON) is trading at $274.03. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -16.0% move.
Price is -28.1% from the 6-month high and +1.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~37%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($281.41, -2.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($325.47).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $274.03, upper $315.03, middle $287.62, lower $260.22. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 19.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 26.7. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-15.48, signal $-16.00, histogram +0.512.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.99) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($274.03) is -15.5% below the anchored VWAP ($324.25). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $274.03. Resistance above: $276.97, $310.04, $315.03. Support below: $269.02, $260.22.
Watch $276.97 as the first upside level to clear, and $269.02 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$276.97
Resistance
$310.04
Resistance
$315.03
Support
$269.02
Support
$260.22
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-16.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($325.47).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.512) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.25).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($324.25).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:01.428033216Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.