APA (APA) — Downtrend in force
APA (APA) is trading at $44.19, +2.0 (+77.5%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +2.7% move. Price is -6.8% from its 6-month high and +38.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 4 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
APA (APA) is trading at $44.19. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +2.7% move.
Price is -6.8% from the 6-month high and +38.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($43.50, +1.6%) and above the 50-day SMA ($41.92).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $44.19, upper $46.60, middle $43.95, lower $41.30. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 12.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 50.8. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.29, signal $0.43, histogram -0.147.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.72). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($44.19) is +14.3% above the anchored VWAP ($38.65). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $44.19. Resistance above: $44.71, $46.60, $47.44. Support below: $44.05, $43.54, $42.73.
Watch $44.71 as the first upside level to clear, and $44.05 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$44.71
Resistance
$46.60
Resistance
$47.44
Support
$44.05
Support
$43.54
Support
$42.73
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+2.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($41.92).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.147) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.55).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.72) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($38.65).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:02.312407476Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.