ARES (ARES) — Uptrend in force
ARES (ARES) is trading at $140.01, +11.91 (+9.3%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +2.0% move. Price is -2.0% from its 6-month high and +45.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
ARES (ARES) is trading at $140.01. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +2.0% move.
Price is -2.0% from the 6-month high and +45.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($129.42, +8.2%) and above the 50-day SMA ($125.32).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $140.01, upper $142.74, middle $127.90, lower $113.06. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 23.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 73.6. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.61, signal $2.86, histogram +1.750.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.06) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($140.01) is +18.9% above the anchored VWAP ($117.80). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $140.01. Resistance above: $141.90, $145.99. Support below: $137.89, $135.16, $127.90.
Watch $141.90 as the first upside level to clear, and $137.89 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$141.90
Resistance
$145.99
Support
$137.89
Support
$135.16
Support
$127.90
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+2.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($125.32).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 74 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.750) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.91).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($117.80).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:36.989191123Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.