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ARM (ARM) — Downtrend in force
ARM (ARM) is trading at $280.91, +41.22 (+17.2%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +125.4% move. Price is -36.1% from its 6-month high and +145.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~93%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ARM (ARM) is trading at $280.91. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +125.4% move.
Price is -36.1% from the 6-month high and +145.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~93%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($264.32, +6.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($322.17).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $280.91, upper $306.82, middle $267.56, lower $228.29. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 29.4% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 55.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-11.56, signal $-16.59, histogram +5.025.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.75). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($280.91) is +11.5% above the anchored VWAP ($251.91). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $280.91. Resistance above: $288.99, $294.00, $306.82. Support below: $279.50, $267.56, $243.12.
Watch $288.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $279.50 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$288.99
Resistance
$294.00
Resistance
$306.82
Support
$279.50
Support
$267.56
Support
$243.12
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+125.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($322.17).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 56 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+5.025) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.67).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.75) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($251.91).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:03:03.438067138Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.