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AXON (AXON) — Uptrend in force
AXON (AXON) is trading at $530.80, +3.04 (+0.58%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +22.4% move. Price is -17.1% from its 6-month high and +53.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~83%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Uptrend, momentum cooling
AXON (AXON) is trading at $530.80. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +22.4% move.
The 6-month trend is up, but the most recent ~20 sessions are off 3.0% — momentum is cooling rather than accelerating. Price sits -17.1% from the 6-month high and +53.4% from the low.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($535.17) and above the 50-day SMA ($510.34).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $530.80, upper $598.10, middle $535.75, lower $473.40. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 23.3% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 49.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $12.14, signal $12.87, histogram -0.721.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.86) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($530.80) is +14.4% above the anchored VWAP ($463.82). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $530.80. Resistance above: $564.24, $598.10, $665.07. Support below: $526.16, $510.05, $502.72.
Watch $564.24 as the first upside level to clear, and $526.16 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$564.24
Resistance
$598.10
Resistance
$665.07
Support
$526.16
Support
$510.05
Support
$502.72
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+22.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($510.34).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 49 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.721) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.46).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($463.82).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:37.932666656Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.