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American Express Co. (AXP) — Downtrend in force
American Express Co. (AXP) is trading at $342.60, +5.08 (+1.51%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -4.7% move. Price is -5.7% from its 6-month high and +17.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
American Express Co. (AXP) is trading at $342.60. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -4.7% move.
Price is -5.7% from the 6-month high and +17.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~29%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($341.43) and above the 50-day SMA ($336.97).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $342.60, upper $363.89, middle $345.31, lower $326.73. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 45.5. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.66, signal $1.02, histogram -0.360.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.25) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($342.60) is +5.9% above the anchored VWAP ($323.49). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $342.60. Resistance above: $344.01, $348.20, $352.49. Support below: $340.92, $336.57, $331.43.
Watch $344.01 as the first upside level to clear, and $340.92 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$344.01
Resistance
$348.20
Resistance
$352.49
Support
$340.92
Support
$336.57
Support
$331.43
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-4.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($336.97).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 46 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.360) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.43).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($323.49).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T13:16:25.306449448Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.