BAC (BAC) — Downtrend in force
BAC (BAC) is trading at $54.23, -0.73 (42.6%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +8.3% move. Price is -16.3% from its 6-month high and +9.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
BAC (BAC) is trading at $54.23. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +8.3% move.
Price is -16.3% from the 6-month high and +9.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($55.82, -2.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($60.55).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $54.23, upper $62.94, middle $57.21, lower $51.48. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 20.0% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 25.0. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.00, signal $-1.76, histogram -0.233.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.03) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($54.23) is -4.7% below the anchored VWAP ($56.89). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $54.23. Resistance above: $56.48, $62.02, $62.82. Support below: $52.89, $51.48.
Watch $56.48 as the first upside level to clear, and $52.89 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$56.48
Resistance
$62.02
Resistance
$62.82
Support
$52.89
Support
$51.48
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+8.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($60.55).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 25 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.233) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.24).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($56.89).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:04.884157861Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.