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Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) — Downtrend in force
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) is trading at $158.45, -3.89 (7.93%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -10.1% move. Price is -26.1% from its 6-month high and +2.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) is trading at $158.45. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -10.1% move.
Price is -26.1% from the 6-month high and +2.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~35%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($163.00, -2.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($188.64).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $158.45, upper $178.06, middle $165.67, lower $153.27. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 30.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-8.34, signal $-8.64, histogram +0.309.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.80) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($158.45) is -10.5% below the anchored VWAP ($177.10). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $158.45. Resistance above: $159.25, $164.18, $166.19. Support below: $155.37, $153.27.
Watch $159.25 as the first upside level to clear, and $155.37 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$159.25
Resistance
$164.18
Resistance
$166.19
Support
$155.37
Support
$153.27
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-10.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($188.64).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 30 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.309) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.21).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($177.10).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:06.490413260Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.