BX (BX) — Downtrend in force
BX (BX) is trading at $113.52, -0.48 (1.68%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +1.1% move. Price is -24.0% from its 6-month high and +2.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
BX (BX) is trading at $113.52. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +1.1% move.
Price is -24.0% from the 6-month high and +2.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($117.93, -3.7%) and below the 50-day SMA ($131.70).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $113.52, upper $132.97, middle $120.35, lower $107.72. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 21.0% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 29.3. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-5.88, signal $-5.30, histogram -0.578.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.83) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($113.52) is -8.8% below the anchored VWAP ($124.45). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $113.52. Resistance above: $115.58, $125.17, $127.75. Support below: $107.72.
Watch $115.58 as the first upside level to clear, and $107.72 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$115.58
Resistance
$125.17
Resistance
$127.75
Support
$107.72
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+1.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($131.70).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 29 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.578) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.23).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($124.45).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:08.592062350Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.