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CAH (CAH) — Downtrend in force
CAH (CAH) is trading at $233.15, +9.24 (+1.3%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +9.7% move. Price is -6.2% from its 6-month high and +27.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CAH (CAH) is trading at $233.15. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +9.7% move.
Price is -6.2% from the 6-month high and +27.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($225.83, +3.2%) and above the 50-day SMA ($232.85).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $233.15, upper $240.01, middle $228.28, lower $216.55. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 57.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.34, signal $-2.38, histogram +1.044.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.18) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($233.15) is +6.1% above the anchored VWAP ($219.65). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $233.15. Resistance above: $235.27, $238.94, $249.29. Support below: $227.68, $221.95, $216.55.
Watch $235.27 as the first upside level to clear, and $227.68 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$235.27
Resistance
$238.94
Resistance
$249.29
Support
$227.68
Support
$221.95
Support
$216.55
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+9.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($232.85).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 58 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.044) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.71).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($219.65).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:09.445772601Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.