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CBOE (CBOE) — Downtrend in force
CBOE (CBOE) is trading at $278.33, +16.58 (+31.2%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -6.0% move. Price is -24.1% from its 6-month high and +20.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~37%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CBOE (CBOE) is trading at $278.33. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -6.0% move.
Price is -24.1% from the 6-month high and +20.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~37%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($269.15, +3.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($287.33).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $278.33, upper $291.15, middle $272.63, lower $254.11. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 58.1. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.16, signal $-5.93, histogram +1.773.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.27) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($278.33) is -3.7% below the anchored VWAP ($289.16). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $278.33. Resistance above: $283.54, $291.15, $295.75. Support below: $272.63, $268.65, $264.73.
Watch $283.54 as the first upside level to clear, and $272.63 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$283.54
Resistance
$291.15
Resistance
$295.75
Support
$272.63
Support
$268.65
Support
$264.73
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-6.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($287.33).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 58 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.773) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.65).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($289.16).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:10.001146865Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.