CEG (CEG) — Downtrend in force
CEG (CEG) is trading at $304.02, +39.44 (+13.6%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +10.5% move. Price is -5.8% from its 6-month high and +28.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~55%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend, stabilising
CEG (CEG) is trading at $304.02. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +10.5% move.
The 6-month trend is down, but the last ~20 sessions are up 3.4% — early stabilisation. Price is -5.8% from the high and +28.6% from the low.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($263.90, +15.2%) and above the 50-day SMA ($272.02).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $304.02, upper $293.87, middle $267.38, lower $240.88. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 19.8% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 77.4. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.31, signal $-3.02, histogram +2.715.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.87) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($304.02) is +11.3% above the anchored VWAP ($273.05). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 1 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $304.02. Resistance above: $305.80. Support below: $296.63, $279.09, $271.07.
Watch $305.80 as the first upside level to clear, and $296.63 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$305.80
Support
$296.63
Support
$279.09
Support
$271.07
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+10.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($272.02).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 77 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+2.715) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.19).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($273.05).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:10.978138918Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.