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CIEN (CIEN) — Downtrend in force
CIEN (CIEN) is trading at $405.32, +28.27 (+7.5%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +39.9% move. Price is -35.4% from its 6-month high and +39.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~78%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CIEN (CIEN) is trading at $405.32. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +39.9% move.
Price is -35.4% from the 6-month high and +39.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~78%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($387.35, +4.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($445.70).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $405.32, upper $448.70, middle $394.21, lower $339.73. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 27.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 57.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-13.41, signal $-20.13, histogram +6.716.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.95) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($405.32) is -6.4% below the anchored VWAP ($433.24). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $405.32. Resistance above: $415.80, $425.96, $448.70. Support below: $404.43, $394.21, $359.01.
Watch $415.80 as the first upside level to clear, and $404.43 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$415.80
Resistance
$425.96
Resistance
$448.70
Support
$404.43
Support
$394.21
Support
$359.01
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+39.9% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($445.70).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 57 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+6.716) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.60).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($433.24).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:45.601746423Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.