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CME (CME) — Downtrend in force
CME (CME) is trading at $270.51, +7.29 (+17.8%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -12.3% move. Price is -12.9% from its 6-month high and +23.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 3 bullish, 3 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CME (CME) is trading at $270.51. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -12.3% move.
Price is -12.9% from the 6-month high and +23.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($268.25) and below the 50-day SMA ($271.11).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $270.51, upper $280.63, middle $270.18, lower $259.74. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.7% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 51.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.68, signal $-1.32, histogram -0.365.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.14) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($270.51) is +2.0% above the anchored VWAP ($265.19). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $270.51. Resistance above: $273.23, $276.16, $280.63. Support below: $270.18, $266.92, $262.20.
Watch $273.23 as the first upside level to clear, and $270.18 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$273.23
Resistance
$276.16
Resistance
$280.63
Support
$270.18
Support
$266.92
Support
$262.20
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-12.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($271.11).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.365) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.52).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($265.19).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:13.177575159Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.