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CME (CME) — Uptrend in force
CME (CME) is trading at $264.77, -3.02 (-1.13%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -13.8% move. Price is -18.9% from its 6-month high and +21.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
CME (CME) is trading at $264.77. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -13.8% move.
Price is -18.9% from the 6-month high and +21.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~27%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($258.66, +2.4%) and above the 50-day SMA ($250.62).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $264.77, upper $274.48, middle $255.25, lower $236.03. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 70.5. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.93, signal $3.55, histogram +1.371.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.05) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($264.77) is -3.5% below the anchored VWAP ($274.43). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $264.77. Resistance above: $270.00, $274.48. Support below: $264.01, $259.24, $255.25.
Watch $270.00 as the first upside level to clear, and $264.01 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$270.00
Resistance
$274.48
Support
$264.01
Support
$259.24
Support
$255.25
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-13.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($250.62).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 70 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.371) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.75).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($274.43).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:46.580615701Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.