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CMI (CMI) — Downtrend in force
CMI (CMI) is trading at $534.52, +13.14 (+2.13%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -3.2% move. Price is -26.5% from its 6-month high and +3.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CMI (CMI) is trading at $534.52. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -3.2% move.
Price is -26.5% from the 6-month high and +3.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($524.95, +1.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($575.36).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $534.52, upper $554.26, middle $530.75, lower $507.23. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 57.7. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-14.21, signal $-17.93, histogram +3.719.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.22) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($534.52) is -14.9% below the anchored VWAP ($628.42). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $534.52. Resistance above: $542.99, $553.85, $567.59. Support below: $527.27, $520.00, $514.37.
Watch $542.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $527.27 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$542.99
Resistance
$553.85
Resistance
$567.59
Support
$527.27
Support
$520.00
Support
$514.37
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-3.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($575.36).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 58 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+3.719) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.58).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($628.42).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:13.467847429Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.