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CMI (CMI) — Downtrend in force
CMI (CMI) is trading at $644.65, +10.45 (+1.65%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +7.2% move. Price is -11.4% from its 6-month high and +26.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CMI (CMI) is trading at $644.65. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +7.2% move.
Price is -11.4% from the 6-month high and +26.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~38%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($646.04) and below the 50-day SMA ($667.51).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $644.65, upper $680.80, middle $649.65, lower $618.50. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 9.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 51.2. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-8.13, signal $-8.72, histogram +0.588.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.30) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($644.65) is +1.6% above the anchored VWAP ($634.55). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $644.65. Resistance above: $654.99, $666.97, $675.00. Support below: $643.59, $618.50, $597.35.
Watch $654.99 as the first upside level to clear, and $643.59 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$654.99
Resistance
$666.97
Resistance
$675.00
Support
$643.59
Support
$618.50
Support
$597.35
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+7.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($667.51).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 51 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.588) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.42).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($634.55).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:47.027883375Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.