CMS (CMS) — Downtrend in force
CMS (CMS) is trading at $64.71, +1.26 (+1.06%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -17.4% move. Price is -19.1% from its 6-month high and +3.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~12%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 6 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CMS (CMS) is trading at $64.71. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -17.4% move.
Price is -19.1% from the 6-month high and +3.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~12%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($64.04, +1.0%) and below the 50-day SMA ($68.02).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $64.71, upper $68.21, middle $64.82, lower $61.43. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 47.7. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.32, signal $-1.55, histogram +0.233.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.45× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($64.71) is -9.9% below the anchored VWAP ($71.86). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $64.71. Resistance above: $68.21, $69.36, $72.44. Support below: $62.29, $61.43.
Watch $68.21 as the first upside level to clear, and $62.29 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$68.21
Resistance
$69.36
Resistance
$72.44
Support
$62.29
Support
$61.43
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-17.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($68.02).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 48 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.233) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.48).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.45× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($71.86).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:13.652337107Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.