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COF (COF) — Downtrend in force
COF (COF) is trading at $197.33, +0.87 (+1.12%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +7.1% move. Price is -13.2% from its 6-month high and +11.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
COF (COF) is trading at $197.33. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +7.1% move.
Price is -13.2% from the 6-month high and +11.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($198.25) and below the 50-day SMA ($210.74).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $197.33, upper $211.20, middle $200.68, lower $190.15. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.5% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 42.3. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.53, signal $-4.40, histogram -0.131.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.30) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($197.33) is -1.0% below the anchored VWAP ($199.36). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $197.33. Resistance above: $201.69, $207.00, $211.20. Support below: $196.08, $193.71, $189.78.
Watch $201.69 as the first upside level to clear, and $196.08 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$201.69
Resistance
$207.00
Resistance
$211.20
Support
$196.08
Support
$193.71
Support
$189.78
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+7.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($210.74).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 42 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.131) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.34).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($199.36).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:14.180355291Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.