COIN (COIN) — Downtrend in force
COIN (COIN) is trading at $149.84, +3.58 (+2.45%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -10.4% move. Price is -30.8% from its 6-month high and +6.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~68%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 6 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
COIN (COIN) is trading at $149.84. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -10.4% move.
Price is -30.8% from the 6-month high and +6.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~68%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($157.97, -5.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($160.72).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $149.84, upper $174.99, middle $158.66, lower $142.33. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 20.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 42.7. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-3.94, signal $-2.58, histogram -1.363.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.93) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($149.84) is -15.8% below the anchored VWAP ($177.93). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $149.84. Resistance above: $152.43, $153.99, $160.80. Support below: $147.61, $142.33, $139.11.
Watch $152.43 as the first upside level to clear, and $147.61 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$152.43
Resistance
$153.99
Resistance
$160.80
Support
$147.61
Support
$142.33
Support
$139.11
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-10.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($160.72).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 43 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.363) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.23).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($177.93).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:48.079901352Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.