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COP (COP) — Uptrend in force
COP (COP) is trading at $115.43, -5.05 (-4.19%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +6.2% move. Price is -13.7% from its 6-month high and +11.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~30%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
COP (COP) is trading at $115.43. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +6.2% move.
Price is -13.7% from the 6-month high and +11.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~30%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($117.60, -1.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($113.40).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $115.43, upper $121.96, middle $116.39, lower $110.82. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 9.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 46.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.27, signal $1.51, histogram -0.232.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.92) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($115.43) is -2.1% below the anchored VWAP ($117.92). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $115.43. Resistance above: $117.19, $118.47, $120.84. Support below: $114.71, $113.21, $110.82.
Watch $117.19 as the first upside level to clear, and $114.71 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$117.19
Resistance
$118.47
Resistance
$120.84
Support
$114.71
Support
$113.21
Support
$110.82
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+6.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($113.40).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 47 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.232) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.41).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($117.92).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:48.398059260Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.