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CTVA (CTVA) — Downtrend in force
CTVA (CTVA) is trading at $13.80, -64.07 (11.34%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -83.6% move. Price is -84.8% from its 6-month high and +15.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~539%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 6 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CTVA (CTVA) is trading at $13.80. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -83.6% move.
Price is -84.8% from the 6-month high and +15.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~539%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($61.66, -77.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($75.85).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $13.80, upper $121.89, middle $67.20, lower $12.51. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 162.8% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Oversold
RSI(14) is 4.9. A bounce is common from these levels but not guaranteed.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-15.85, signal $-7.70, histogram -8.151.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Accumulation — buyers in control
Over the recent 19 sessions, average up-day volume is 1.76× down-day volume. Price rises on heavier volume than it falls on — a sign buyers are more committed than sellers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($13.80) is -73.8% below the anchored VWAP ($52.70). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $13.80. Resistance above: $80.97, $82.26, $83.47. Support below: $12.51.
Watch $80.97 as the first upside level to clear, and $12.51 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$80.97
Resistance
$82.26
Resistance
$83.47
Support
$12.51
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-83.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($75.85).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 5 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-8.151) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.01).
- Volume profile Bullish Up-day volume 1.76× down-day volume — accumulation.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($52.70).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:17.540675721Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.