CTVA (CTVA) — Downtrend in force
CTVA (CTVA) is trading at $76.19, -2.52 (-3.2%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +3.5% move. Price is -15.8% from its 6-month high and +3.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~46%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CTVA (CTVA) is trading at $76.19. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +3.5% move.
Price is -15.8% from the 6-month high and +3.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~46%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($84.10, -9.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($81.79).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $76.19, upper $94.31, middle $84.54, lower $74.77. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 23.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 27.9. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.54, signal $0.01, histogram -1.546.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.79) over the recent 18 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($76.19) is -5.2% below the anchored VWAP ($80.40). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $76.19. Resistance above: $78.34, $80.72, $84.56. Support below: $74.51.
Watch $78.34 as the first upside level to clear, and $74.51 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$78.34
Resistance
$80.72
Resistance
$84.56
Support
$74.51
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+3.5% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($81.79).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 28 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-1.546) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.07).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($80.40).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:51.052315212Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.