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CVNA (CVNA) — Downtrend in force
CVNA (CVNA) is trading at $64.28, +0.66 (+87.1%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +1.4% move. Price is -22.9% from its 6-month high and +6.8% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 7 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
CVNA (CVNA) is trading at $64.28. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +1.4% move.
Price is -22.9% from the 6-month high and +6.8% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~41%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($64.24) and below the 50-day SMA ($68.82).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $64.28, upper $71.83, middle $65.71, lower $59.59. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 18.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 48.4. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.86, signal $-1.82, histogram -0.044.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.85) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($64.28) is -7.5% below the anchored VWAP ($69.46). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $64.28. Resistance above: $65.48, $66.57, $69.00. Support below: $63.40, $62.15, $59.59.
Watch $65.48 as the first upside level to clear, and $63.40 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$65.48
Resistance
$66.57
Resistance
$69.00
Support
$63.40
Support
$62.15
Support
$59.59
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+1.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($68.82).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 48 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.044) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.38).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($69.46).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:17.639963322Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.