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Chevron Corp. (CVX) — Downtrend in force
Chevron Corp. (CVX) is trading at $207.34, +2.96 (+41.9%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a +4.3% move. Price is -4.8% from its 6-month high and +25.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Chevron Corp. (CVX) is trading at $207.34. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a +4.3% move.
Price is -4.8% from the 6-month high and +25.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~21%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($206.46) and above the 50-day SMA ($203.13).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $207.34, upper $216.62, middle $208.37, lower $200.12. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 7.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 44.7. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.53, signal $1.06, histogram -0.529.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.59). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($207.34) is +8.3% above the anchored VWAP ($191.40). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $207.34. Resistance above: $207.41, $209.86, $216.62. Support below: $205.38, $202.70, $200.12.
Watch $207.41 as the first upside level to clear, and $205.38 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$207.41
Resistance
$209.86
Resistance
$216.62
Support
$205.38
Support
$202.70
Support
$200.12
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+4.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($203.13).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 45 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.529) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.44).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.59) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($191.40).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:31:50.502759943Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.