DOW (DOW) — Range-bound
DOW (DOW) is trading at $29.33, -0.96 (-3.17%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a -8.6% move. Price is -29.9% from its 6-month high and +8.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
DOW (DOW) is trading at $29.33. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -8.6% move.
Price is -29.9% from the 6-month high and +8.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~40%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($30.05, -2.4%) and below the 50-day SMA ($30.87).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $29.33, upper $31.25, middle $30.02, lower $28.79. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 8.2% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 43.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.23, signal $-0.32, histogram +0.093.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.02) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($29.33) is -15.2% below the anchored VWAP ($34.58). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $29.33. Resistance above: $29.90, $30.45, $31.21. Support below: $29.20, $28.69, $28.23.
Watch $29.90 as the first upside level to clear, and $29.20 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$29.90
Resistance
$30.45
Resistance
$31.21
Support
$29.20
Support
$28.69
Support
$28.23
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($30.87).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 43 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.093) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.22).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($34.58).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:53.939084288Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.