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ELV (ELV) — Downtrend in force
ELV (ELV) is trading at $390.25, +14.41 (+3.83%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +19.2% move. Price is -8.6% from its 6-month high and +39.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~45%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 2 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
ELV (ELV) is trading at $390.25. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +19.2% move.
Price is -8.6% from the 6-month high and +39.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~45%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($383.18, +1.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($396.09).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $390.25, upper $415.92, middle $386.80, lower $357.68. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 15.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 57.6. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.95, signal $-4.10, histogram +1.144.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.86) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($390.25) is +10.7% above the anchored VWAP ($352.46). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $390.25. Resistance above: $391.12, $396.00, $415.92. Support below: $386.80, $381.24, $375.75.
Watch $391.12 as the first upside level to clear, and $386.80 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$391.12
Resistance
$396.00
Resistance
$415.92
Support
$386.80
Support
$381.24
Support
$375.75
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+19.2% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($396.09).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 58 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.144) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.56).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($352.46).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:56.557445192Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.