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EXC (EXC) — Range-bound
EXC (EXC) is trading at $45.28, -0.54 (-1.18%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +3.0% move. Price is -10.0% from its 6-month high and +4.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 5 bearish, 3 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
EXC (EXC) is trading at $45.28. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +3.0% move.
Price is -10.0% from the 6-month high and +4.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~22%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($46.27, -2.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($46.23).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $45.28, upper $47.79, middle $46.34, lower $44.90. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 6.2% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 39.0. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.26, signal $-0.08, histogram -0.180.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.16) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($45.28) is -3.5% below the anchored VWAP ($46.91). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $45.28. Resistance above: $46.03, $46.72, $47.47. Support below: $45.20, $44.74.
Watch $46.03 as the first upside level to clear, and $45.20 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$46.03
Resistance
$46.72
Resistance
$47.47
Support
$45.20
Support
$44.74
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($46.23).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 39 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.180) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.13).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($46.91).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:59.075388448Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.