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EXPE (EXPE) — Uptrend in force
EXPE (EXPE) is trading at $311.37, +16.63 (+5.64%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +31.7% move. Price is -2.6% from its 6-month high and +65.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
EXPE (EXPE) is trading at $311.37. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +31.7% move.
Price is -2.6% from the 6-month high and +65.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~43%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($288.16, +8.1%) and above the 50-day SMA ($259.72).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $311.37, upper $323.39, middle $283.06, lower $242.72. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 28.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 70.0. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $14.80, signal $12.19, histogram +2.619.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.81) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($311.37) is +30.7% above the anchored VWAP ($238.19). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $311.37. Resistance above: $312.40, $323.39. Support below: $290.64, $283.06, $267.31.
Watch $312.40 as the first upside level to clear, and $290.64 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$312.40
Resistance
$323.39
Support
$290.64
Support
$283.06
Support
$267.31
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+31.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($259.72).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 70 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+2.619) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.85).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($238.19).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:01:59.533251977Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.