FCX (FCX) — Uptrend in force
FCX (FCX) is trading at $69.74, +7.11 (+11.35%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +9.6% move. Price is -2.8% from its 6-month high and +33.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
FCX (FCX) is trading at $69.74. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +9.6% move.
Price is -2.8% from the 6-month high and +33.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~48%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($64.07, +8.8%) and above the 50-day SMA ($64.09).
Bollinger Bands Momentum extension — closing above the upper band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $69.74, upper $69.70, middle $63.05, lower $56.40. Price is momentum extension — closing above the upper band.
Bandwidth is 21.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 72.5. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $1.46, signal $0.47, histogram +0.991.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.07) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($69.74) is +11.5% above the anchored VWAP ($62.54). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $69.74. Resistance above: $70.56, $72.28. Support below: $69.65, $63.05, $62.06.
Watch $70.56 as the first upside level to clear, and $69.65 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$70.56
Resistance
$72.28
Support
$69.65
Support
$63.05
Support
$62.06
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+9.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($64.09).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 73 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.991) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 1.00).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($62.54).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:00.766476802Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.