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FDX (FDX) — Range-bound
FDX (FDX) is trading at $317.21, +9.81 (+3.19%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a +8.0% move. Price is -6.4% from its 6-month high and +15.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 2 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
FDX (FDX) is trading at $317.21. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a +8.0% move.
Price is -6.4% from the 6-month high and +15.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~23%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($312.49, +1.5%) and below the 50-day SMA ($319.84).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $317.21, upper $320.38, middle $312.97, lower $305.56. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 4.7% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 62.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.04, signal $-1.81, histogram +0.765.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.96) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($317.21) is +3.1% above the anchored VWAP ($307.68). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $317.21. Resistance above: $320.16, $323.68, $329.49. Support below: $314.31, $311.01, $306.05.
Watch $320.16 as the first upside level to clear, and $314.31 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$320.16
Resistance
$323.68
Resistance
$329.49
Support
$314.31
Support
$311.01
Support
$306.05
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($319.84).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 63 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.765) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.79).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($307.68).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:01.170856722Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.