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FDX (FDX) — Downtrend in force
FDX (FDX) is trading at $289.01, +1.53 (+-4.3%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -0.1% move. Price is -14.8% from its 6-month high and +3.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
FDX (FDX) is trading at $289.01. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -0.1% move.
Price is -14.8% from the 6-month high and +3.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~24%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($291.84) and below the 50-day SMA ($312.40).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $289.01, upper $317.17, middle $296.57, lower $275.98. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 39.6. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-8.08, signal $-8.23, histogram +0.147.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.88) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($289.01) is -7.9% below the anchored VWAP ($313.82). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $289.01. Resistance above: $290.16, $313.00, $317.17. Support below: $283.99, $279.23, $275.98.
Watch $290.16 as the first upside level to clear, and $283.99 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$290.16
Resistance
$313.00
Resistance
$317.17
Support
$283.99
Support
$279.23
Support
$275.98
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-0.1% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($312.40).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 40 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.147) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.32).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($313.82).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:29.243081504Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.