FER (FER) — Downtrend in force
FER (FER) is trading at $51.37, -3.2 (-90.7%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -22.4% move. Price is -28.9% from its 6-month high and +0.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 5 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
FER (FER) is trading at $51.37. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -22.4% move.
Price is -28.9% from the 6-month high and 0.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($54.52, -5.8%) and below the 50-day SMA ($59.51).
Bollinger Bands Breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $51.37, upper $57.50, middle $54.74, lower $51.99. Price is breakdown pressure — closing below the lower band.
Bandwidth is 10.1% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 26.8. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.88, signal $-1.76, histogram -0.115.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.20) over the recent 18 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($51.37) is -20.1% below the anchored VWAP ($64.31). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 0 support levels
Current price $51.37. Resistance above: $54.58, $55.22, $55.95. Support below: none nearby.
Resistance
$54.58
Resistance
$55.22
Resistance
$55.95
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-22.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($59.51).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 27 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.115) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B -0.11).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($64.31).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:50.061854397Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.