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FICO (FICO) — Downtrend in force
FICO (FICO) is trading at $682.56, +64.69 (+-1.02%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -37.6% move. Price is -50.3% from its 6-month high and +15.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~115%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
FICO (FICO) is trading at $682.56. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -37.6% move.
Price is -50.3% from the 6-month high and +15.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~115%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($806.13, -15.3%) and below the 50-day SMA ($1,005.51).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $682.56, upper $1,129.40, middle $850.43, lower $571.47. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 65.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Weakening
RSI(14) is 23.3. Nearing the 30 oversold line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-107.23, signal $-91.27, histogram -15.958.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.17) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($682.56) is -30.9% below the anchored VWAP ($987.13). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $682.56. Resistance above: $938.84, $1,014.00, $1,093.58. Support below: $586.05, $571.47.
Watch $938.84 as the first upside level to clear, and $586.05 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$938.84
Resistance
$1,014.00
Resistance
$1,093.58
Support
$586.05
Support
$571.47
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-37.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($1,005.51).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 23 — oversold, bounce setup.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-15.958) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.20).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($987.13).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:29.766273259Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.