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FICO (FICO) — Downtrend in force
FICO (FICO) is trading at $1,033.25, -89.72 (-7.99%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -24.7% move. Price is -30.0% from its 6-month high and +12.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~73%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 0 bullish, 8 bearish, 0 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
FICO (FICO) is trading at $1,033.25. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -24.7% move.
Price is -30.0% from the 6-month high and +12.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~73%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($1,177.18, -12.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($1,198.22).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $1,033.25, upper $1,390.80, middle $1,192.53, lower $994.27. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 33.2% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 31.2. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-42.61, signal $-15.78, histogram -26.831.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.61). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($1,033.25) is -10.6% below the anchored VWAP ($1,155.80). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $1,033.25. Resistance above: $1,055.35, $1,108.58, $1,204.00. Support below: $994.27.
Watch $1,055.35 as the first upside level to clear, and $994.27 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$1,055.35
Resistance
$1,108.58
Resistance
$1,204.00
Support
$994.27
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-24.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($1,198.22).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 31 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-26.831) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.10).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.61) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($1,155.80).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:02.158695234Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.