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HAL (HAL) — Downtrend in force
HAL (HAL) is trading at $32.20, -0.05 (-0.16%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a -7.7% move. Price is -25.1% from its 6-month high and +3.2% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~32%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
HAL (HAL) is trading at $32.20. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a -7.7% move.
Price is -25.1% from the 6-month high and +3.2% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~32%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($32.44) and below the 50-day SMA ($35.30).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $32.20, upper $36.06, middle $33.14, lower $30.22. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 17.6% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 37.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-0.93, signal $-1.04, histogram +0.111.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.77) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($32.20) is -12.4% below the anchored VWAP ($36.75). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $32.20. Resistance above: $33.60, $34.50, $35.11. Support below: $31.51, $30.98, $30.22.
Watch $33.60 as the first upside level to clear, and $31.51 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$33.60
Resistance
$34.50
Resistance
$35.11
Support
$31.51
Support
$30.98
Support
$30.22
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-7.7% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($35.30).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 37 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.111) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.34).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($36.75).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:11.140467165Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.