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HCA (HCA) — Range-bound
HCA (HCA) is trading at $436.92, +5.29 (+46.0%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is flat with a -9.7% move. Price is -13.8% from its 6-month high and +20.9% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
HCA (HCA) is trading at $436.92. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -9.7% move.
Price is -13.8% from the 6-month high and +20.9% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($430.65, +1.5%) and above the 50-day SMA ($418.55).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $436.92, upper $439.35, middle $428.95, lower $418.55. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 4.8% of price — contracted (low volatility, breakout pending). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 56.5. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.48, signal $4.70, histogram -0.220.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.74). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($436.92) is +6.6% above the anchored VWAP ($409.80). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $436.92. Resistance above: $439.35, $446.36. Support below: $433.83, $428.95, $423.43.
Watch $439.35 as the first upside level to clear, and $433.83 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$439.35
Resistance
$446.36
Support
$433.83
Support
$428.95
Support
$423.43
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($418.55).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 57 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.220) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.88).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.74) — distribution.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($409.80).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:32:44.997923455Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.