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HOOD (HOOD) — Downtrend in force
HOOD (HOOD) is trading at $93.50, +6.94 (+8.02%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +8.0% move. Price is -20.5% from its 6-month high and +43.5% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~63%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
HOOD (HOOD) is trading at $93.50. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +8.0% move.
Price is -20.5% from the 6-month high and +43.5% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~63%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($94.59, -1.2%) and below the 50-day SMA ($98.34).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $93.50, upper $115.10, middle $98.19, lower $81.27. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 34.5% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 44.8. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.88, signal $-2.04, histogram -0.841.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.00) over the recent 18 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($93.50) is +9.9% above the anchored VWAP ($85.04). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $93.50. Resistance above: $95.60, $99.19, $102.60. Support below: $92.80, $83.68, $81.27.
Watch $95.60 as the first upside level to clear, and $92.80 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$95.60
Resistance
$99.19
Resistance
$102.60
Support
$92.80
Support
$83.68
Support
$81.27
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+8.0% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($98.34).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 45 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.841) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.36).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($85.04).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:12.460085082Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.