HSY (HSY) — Uptrend in force
HSY (HSY) is trading at $182.64, +7.59 (+4.34%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a -20.8% move. Price is -22.7% from its 6-month high and +7.3% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 1 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
HSY (HSY) is trading at $182.64. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a -20.8% move.
Price is -22.7% from the 6-month high and +7.3% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~28%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($177.52, +2.9%) and above the 50-day SMA ($178.41).
Bollinger Bands Near the upper band — momentum hot
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $182.64, upper $185.34, middle $176.30, lower $167.25. Price is near the upper band — momentum hot.
Bandwidth is 10.3% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 67.1. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $0.97, signal $-0.04, histogram +1.011.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.09) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money accumulating
The Accumulation/Distribution line is rising and sitting well off highs. Institutions are not aggressively distributing — large funds still appear net long.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($182.64) is -6.3% below the anchored VWAP ($195.01). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $182.64. Resistance above: $183.38, $185.34, $188.37. Support below: $181.10, $178.82, $176.30.
Watch $183.38 as the first upside level to clear, and $181.10 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$183.38
Resistance
$185.34
Resistance
$188.37
Support
$181.10
Support
$178.82
Support
$176.30
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (-20.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($178.41).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 67 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.011) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.85).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bullish A/D line slope is rising — institutions accumulating.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($195.01).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:13.543564782Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.