HWM (HWM) — Uptrend in force
HWM (HWM) is trading at $285.46, +3.2 (+1.13%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +26.8% move. Price is -2.0% from its 6-month high and +28.0% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 6 bullish, 0 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
HWM (HWM) is trading at $285.46. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +26.8% move.
Price is -2.0% from the 6-month high and +28.0% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~26%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($283.70) and above the 50-day SMA ($272.20).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $285.46, upper $294.85, middle $281.32, lower $267.79. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 9.6% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 58.9. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $4.39, signal $4.15, histogram +0.243.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.78) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($285.46) is +10.5% above the anchored VWAP ($258.33). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 2 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $285.46. Resistance above: $290.63, $294.85. Support below: $281.32, $276.01, $271.79.
Watch $290.63 as the first upside level to clear, and $281.32 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$290.63
Resistance
$294.85
Support
$281.32
Support
$276.01
Support
$271.79
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+26.8% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($272.20).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 59 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.243) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.65).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($258.33).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:14.166399244Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.