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IBKR (IBKR) — Downtrend in force
IBKR (IBKR) is trading at $85.75, -2.24 (-2.55%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +9.3% move. Price is -12.0% from its 6-month high and +34.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~44%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
IBKR (IBKR) is trading at $85.75. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +9.3% move.
Price is -12.0% from the 6-month high and +34.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~44%.
Price is below the 15-day MA ($89.86, -4.6%) and below the 50-day SMA ($90.77).
Bollinger Bands Near the lower band — weakness
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $85.75, upper $97.13, middle $90.86, lower $84.59. Price is near the lower band — weakness.
Bandwidth is 13.8% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 35.1. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-1.26, signal $-0.53, histogram -0.722.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.82) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($85.75) is +5.6% above the anchored VWAP ($81.21). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 2 support levels
Current price $85.75. Resistance above: $88.23, $90.12, $91.80. Support below: $85.60, $84.59.
Watch $88.23 as the first upside level to clear, and $85.60 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$88.23
Resistance
$90.12
Resistance
$91.80
Support
$85.60
Support
$84.59
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+9.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($90.77).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 35 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.722) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.09).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($81.21).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:14.326072741Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.