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International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) — Range-bound
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) is trading at $233.43, +11.69 (+5.27%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is flat with a -21.2% move. Price is -29.1% from its 6-month high and +13.4% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~94%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 2 bullish, 4 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Range-bound / consolidating
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) is trading at $233.43. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **flat** with a -21.2% move.
Price is -29.1% from the 6-month high and +13.4% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~94%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($222.00, +5.1%) and below the 50-day SMA ($258.97).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $233.43, upper $259.56, middle $224.01, lower $188.47. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 31.7% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Overbought
RSI(14) is 70.9. Strong but not yet extreme — approaching the 80 line.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-6.88, signal $-10.12, histogram +3.243.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Distribution — sellers in control
Down-day volume exceeds up-day volume (ratio 0.69). Price falls on heavier volume than it rises on — sellers are more aggressive than buyers.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($233.43) is -6.2% below the anchored VWAP ($248.94). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $233.43. Resistance above: $238.96, $252.47, $259.56. Support below: $223.95, $216.59, $204.44.
Watch $238.96 as the first upside level to clear, and $223.95 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$238.96
Resistance
$252.47
Resistance
$259.56
Support
$223.95
Support
$216.59
Support
$204.44
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Neutral Slope is near-flat — range-bound price action.
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($258.97).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 71 — overbought, mean-reversion risk.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+3.243) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.63).
- Volume profile Bearish Down-day volume exceeds up-day (ratio 0.69) — distribution.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($248.94).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T13:16:27.850448563Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.