INCY (INCY) — Uptrend in force
INCY (INCY) is trading at $119.32, -0.2 (-0.17%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is up with a +9.4% move. Price is -8.2% from its 6-month high and +32.1% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 5 bullish, 1 bearish, 2 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Strong uptrend in force
INCY (INCY) is trading at $119.32. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **up** with a +9.4% move.
Price is -8.2% from the 6-month high and +32.1% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~36%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($119.88) and above the 50-day SMA ($111.34).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $119.32, upper $126.55, middle $118.81, lower $111.07. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 13.0% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 53.1. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bearish — momentum slowing
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $2.33, signal $3.05, histogram -0.722.
The fast line has crossed below the signal line and the histogram is negative. Price may still be rising overall, but momentum is weakening — often seen before a correction, a sideways consolidation, or a final push higher.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 1.24) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money on hold
The A/D line slope is flat and the line is well off highs — institutions are neither aggressively accumulating nor distributing.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($119.32) is +15.1% above the anchored VWAP ($103.65). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $119.32. Resistance above: $119.60, $124.57, $126.55. Support below: $118.81, $116.27, $114.51.
Watch $119.60 as the first upside level to clear, and $118.81 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$119.60
Resistance
$124.57
Resistance
$126.55
Support
$118.81
Support
$116.27
Support
$114.51
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bullish Linear-regression slope is up (+9.4% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bullish Price is above the 50-day SMA ($111.34).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 53 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bearish Histogram negative (-0.722) — fast line below signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.53).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Neutral A/D line slope is flat.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($103.65).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:15.526324283Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.