Intel Corp. (INTC) — Downtrend in force
Intel Corp. (INTC) is trading at $99.15, +8.94 (+9.91%) on the session. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is down with a +97.3% move. Price is -29.6% from its 6-month high and +140.7% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~86%.
Probability scenarios
Bullish bias — 4 bullish, 3 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
Intel Corp. (INTC) is trading at $99.15. Over the last 125 sessions the trend is **down** with a +97.3% move.
Price is -29.6% from the 6-month high and +140.7% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~86%.
Price is above the 15-day MA ($95.38, +3.9%) and below the 50-day SMA ($110.60).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $99.15, upper $109.94, middle $96.83, lower $83.72. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 27.1% of price — expanded (high volatility). Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Healthy pullback
RSI(14) is 54.0. Above 50 — bullish momentum intact, no exhaustion.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-4.03, signal $-5.49, histogram +1.455.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.83) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Above anchored VWAP — period buyers in profit
Price ($99.15) is +10.4% above the anchored VWAP ($89.84). Buyers who entered at the period's volume-weighted average are in profit and less likely to panic-sell.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 3 support levels
Current price $99.15. Resistance above: $106.17, $109.61, $116.77. Support below: $96.83, $89.59, $85.62.
Watch $106.17 as the first upside level to clear, and $96.83 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$106.17
Resistance
$109.61
Resistance
$116.77
Support
$96.83
Support
$89.59
Support
$85.62
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (+97.3% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($110.60).
- RSI (14) Bullish RSI 54 — holding above 50, momentum intact.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+1.455) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bullish Price in the upper half of the bands (%B 0.59).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bullish Price above anchored VWAP ($89.84).
Generated from 125 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-08-07T14:02:15.755904687Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.